9-Actor Simulation · 95/5 CPI · 25 bp FOMC · Shared 2026–27 Trunk + 2028 Fork
Cheap Software, Expensive Life
Software deflated 22–29%. Physical scarcity held living costs near +2.8%—while 2028 split the grid, the Fed, and Wall Street three ways.
+ 9 competing factions
Chronology · Scroll or click
JEVONS SURGE
Cracking legacy IT (59.8% ready in Agents) drives 45.4 GW power demand (+37% vs. Baseline) while −29% SaaS fire sales pull the Fed to 2.25%.
CLEANSING
Banning 2028 bailouts (Crunch) forces early foreclosures, avoids punitive 2029 grid tariffs, and finishes 2030 with 73.5 equities and 2.50% GDP (beating Baseline's 62.5 & 1.70%).
INVARIANTS
Across all 3 branches: physical CPI stays +2.68% to +2.85%, SaaS deflates −22% to −29%, and human liability gates hold US grad desk hiring down 28–30%.
| Metric | 2026.Q4 | 01 / Baseline (30.H2) | 02 / Agents (30.H2) | 03 / Crunch (30.H2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.75% | 3.00% | 2.25% | 3.00% |
| Headline / Physical CPI | 2.87% / +3.00% | 1.61% / +2.85% | 1.26% / +2.85% | 1.32% / +2.68% |
| Software CPI | +0.4% | −22.0% | −29.0% | −24.5% |
| Energized Supply / Demand | 18.0 / 19.4 GW | 33.0 / 33.2 GW | 46.1 / 45.4 GW | 33.0 / 32.5 GW |
| Tech Equities (2026 = 100) | 100.0 | 62.5 | 64.5 | 73.5 |
| Real GDP Growth | 2.30% | 1.70% | 2.35% | 2.50% |
| Legacy IT Ready | 18.0% | 42.5% | 59.8% | 48.5% |
| US Entry-Level Desk Hiring | 100.0% | 72.0% | 70.5% (66% trough) | 72.0% |